COMMENTARY | In a video presentation, Scott Rasmussen of the Rasmussen Poll had some terrible news for Barack Obama and some puzzling news for Mitt Romney. The news concerned the attitude of currently uncommitted voters, 12 percent of the population.
Obama's approval number among uncommitted voters is only 20 percent. His disapproval number is an enormous 76 percent. That suggests that among people who have yet to make even a tentative decision on who to vote for president, Obama is extremely unpopular and will be hard for the president to win back over.
On the other hand, as much disdain as the uncommitted have for Obama, they have yet to decide on an alternative. This is a problem for Romney, as the front runner. He has to figure out how to attract these undecided voters, who have already rejected Obama, over to his corner.
The head to head match ups have bad news for Obama as well. Both Rasmussen and Gallup has the president tied with Romney at 45 percent and 48 percent respectively. Rasmussen also has Obama just two points ahead of Santorum, a candidate who has been an also ran since his razor thin victory in Iowa. Obama is eight points ahead of Gingrich, however.
Each of the polls consistently shows Obama at below 50 percent, a bad place to be for any incumbent. The rule of thumb among pollsters is that the undecided voters, the ones whom Rasmussen shows holds Obama in great disdain, usually break for the challenger.
This does not mean that Obama is doomed and that the Republicans could nominate a yellow dog and still win (though they might depending on the dog's views on taxes and immigration.) The numbers do mean that Obama is preparing to run for reelection with a great disadvantage. Using a Super Bowl metaphor, he is back by a touchdown going into the second quarter and the opposing team is on a roll.
Obama is hoping to run a Harry Truman come from behind campaign against a "do nothing Congress." That is not likely to work because the Senate is under the control of Democrats. The Republican House has been moving legislation to improve the economy, only to see it languish in the Senate. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has announced that for the third year running, the Senate will not pass a budget.
Do nothing Congress? Do nothing Senate, rather.
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